Where Michigan voters stand at Whitmer, Dixon for the week before the election

According to a new WDIV / Detroit News poll, incumbent Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer continues to lead the polls as the general election approaches.

The results of a poll of Michigan voters conducted on October 26-28 showed that Democratic Governor Whitmer is conducting polls for Republican opponent Tudor Dixon, and that inflation and reproductive rights issues largely motivate Michigan residents to vote.

Some of the key findings from this section of the survey include:

Whitmer leads Dixon by 8.6%

  • Outgoing Governor Whitmer leads Tudor Dixon with a lead of 51.7% -43.1% – which means Whitmer is now leading with 8.6 points.

  • Support for Whitmer remains strong among voters who identify as “strong” Democrats (99%) and thin Democrats (95.3%).

  • Support for Dixon is strong among voters who identify as “strong” Republicans (90%) and quite strong among stubborn Republican voters (63.1%).

  • Whitmer increased her support among independent voters, and 57.6% of them support Whitmer. 30.4% of independent voters support Dixon.

  • It’s worth noting that Whitmer has 21% of the vote leaning Republican voters and 6.3% of the votes of strong Republican voters.

  • Dixon has 0% of the vote from strong Democrat voters and 2.4% of the vote from stubborn Democrat voters.

  • Whitmer has a 19 point lead over Dixon among Metro Detroit voters, but Dixon has a slight advantage over Dixon voters across the state of Michigan.

  • Whitmer leads the voting women by a 2-1 advantage over Dixon. It also has a significant advantage among independent male and female voters.

  • Dixon has the advantage among male voters with a margin of 54.6% Dixon-40.9% Whitmer.

  • Whitmer is the leader among absentee voters – a group that is often made up mostly of Democrat voters, as was the case with this election.

Whitmer / Dixon Approval Ratings

  • The approval ratings for Whitmer’s work remain consistent with 53% of voters approving the work she has done as governor. Whitmer’s approval of the job this year stood at 53-56%.

  • 49.1% of voters have a positive view of Governor Whitmer, while 46.3% of voters have a negative view of her. Both favorable and unfavorable numbers have risen since the last poll.

  • Dixon increased her surname identification to 93.4%, compared with an exceptionally low surname id in previous polls.
  • 37.4% of voters viewed Dixon favorably, while 44.8% of voters viewed her unfavorably. 11.2% of voters do not have an opinion about Dixon.

Whitmer / Dixon debates

  • Voters who watched the two televised debates between Whitmer and Dixon say they had no influence on their vote.

  • The debates were watched by 36.4% of voters, not by 63.1% of voters.

  • 60.5% of voters who watched the debates said the debates had no influence on their vote.

More: Michigan Voter Guide 2022: Learn key races, voting suggestions before voting

Motivated voters

  • Voting motivation remains strong among voters in Michigan as we approach the November 8 elections.

  • Strong Republican voters are among the most motivated, with a motivation of 9.7 on a 10-point scale. The motivation of leaning Republicans is rated at 9.6.

  • Motivation is rated 9.4 among strong Democrat voters and 8.5 among poor Democratic voters.

  • Motivation is estimated at 8.8 among independent voters.

  • Voting motivation is particularly high among voters aged 18-29, similar to the 2018 and 2020 elections.

Inflation, the right to abortion fuels the motivation

  • Inflation issues and abortion / reproductive rights are the main drivers of Michigan voters to vote in November.

  • 40% of voters cited inflation and cost of living as the main motivators.

  • 31.4% of voters identified abortion and women’s rights as the main motivators.

  • Inflation rose to the main motivating factor that has dragged on abortion for several months.

  • In early October, around 23.6% cited inflation as the biggest motivator, compared with 35.5% of voters citing abortion as the biggest motivator.

  • Abortion is a major motivator among strong and lean Democrat voters, while inflation is greatest among strong and lean Republican voters.

  • The distinction between men and women is the clearest: a majority of women voting (45.9%) cited abortion as the main motivator in this election, while a majority of men voting (38.5%) cited inflation as the main factor.

Methodology

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a poll in Michigan regarding likely voters in the November 2022 general election. Sample 600, live operator phone survey was conducted October 26-28, 2022 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.0% at 95% confidence level. 28.4% of respondents contacted via a landline telephone. 71.6% of the respondents were contacted via a mobile phone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and Detroit News.


More: Full coverage of the 2022 decision, results

Copyright 2022 by WDIV ClickOnDetroit – All rights reserved.

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