The Western Michigan Broncos (3-5, 2-2 MAC) meet Green falcons in bowling (4-4, 3-1) Wednesday at the Doyt L. Perry Stadium. The launch is scheduled for 7:00 PM EST (ESPN2). Below we analyze the Tipico Sportsbook lines around West Michigan versus Bowling Green chancesand prepare our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Broncos kept their off-season aspirations last weekend, winning 16:10 against Miami-Ohio to 7.5 point losses. The attack has once again struggled though, and has now scored 23 points or less 5 times in the last 6 games. No wonder Under is 4-1 in the last 5 WMU appearances.
The falcons are flying high these days, with the chance of a three-way draw for first place in MAC’s East Division thanks to Ohio’s victory over Buffalo Tuesday. BGSU is still set to play in Ohio, so we can see bronze and orange play for the MAC title in Detroit in December if something breaks. The key here is to win.
Bowling Green has made 2 games in a row during the season and for the first time since the opening of the campaign in 2021, it intends to cover the third straight after the 5-0 ATS series.
The Doyt L. Perry Stadium is a great place to see a student football game in November, especially when the Falcons are doing well. Bonus points if you have a chance to catch them against I-75 rival Toledo in a few weeks.
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Western Michigan courses in Bowling Green
Brought to you by Tipico Sportsbook; enter the USA TODAY Sports Scores & Sportsbook center for a complete list. Last line update at 4:30 EST.
- Money Line (ML): Western Michigan +170 (bet $ 100 to win $ 170) | Bowling Green -210 (bet $ 210 to win $ 100)
- Against the spread: West Michigan +4 (-110) | Bowling Green -4 (-110)
- Over / Under (O / U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -114)
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Western Michigan’s Bowling Green and Outlook
Bowling Green 26, Western Michigan 20
Bowling Green (-210) had the highest score in a conference game this season when he scored 34 points in last weekend’s win over Central Michigan at Mount Pleasant.
The Falcons haven’t hit 0.500 or more this late in the season since the 2015 campaign, when they last qualified for the postseason, losing to Georgia Southern at the GoDaddy Bowl in Alabama.
I think Falcons go 5-4 with a win, but risking more than 2 times the potential return is a bit too expensive.
Against the spread
GREEN CIRCLE -4 (-110) is the better game of putting points.
Western Michigan struggles with conference games, scoring 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 MAC events, while on the previous November 5 it had a disastrous 1-4 ATS.
Bowling Green comes with some risk as there are only 11-26 ATS at home in the last 37 games, but this is a tendency to decline. The kids who did most of this non-hiding aren’t on the team anymore. More importantly this season the Falcons are healthy 2-1 SU / ATS in 3 home games against FBS teams.
Above / Below
SLIMMING UNDER 48 (-114)but go no more than half a unit.
The Under has made 4 of their last 5 games across Western Michigan, with an average of just 14.4 PPG in their last 5 games against FBS teams.
Bowling Green was on the same boat until his last victory at CMU. He has scored just 24 points in his two previous home games against Buffalo and Miami-Ohio.
This is why the books run low and why we are on the Under side.
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