Michigan Governor Race: Whitmer Leads Dixon in Poll, With Inflation, Major Abortion Issues

Michigan Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer leads Republican challenger Tudor Dixon in a new poll released just one week before the election.

Inflation and abortion are the main concerns for Michigan voters, who will decide on Tuesday whether to give Whitmer a second four-year term, according to a new poll by WDIV / Detroit News.

The governor is 8.6 percentage points ahead of Dixon (51.7% to 43.1%), although the good news for Republicans is that Dixon has managed to cut almost half of Whitmer’s lead since September, when the same poll showed a 17-year increase . steering.

Each candidate seems to have largely consolidated support from those who describe themselves as “strong” Republicans or Democrats, respectively. However, the poll found Whitmer wins independent voters with 57.6% of the vote, compared with Dixon’s 30.4% of the self-identified independent.

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It’s worth noting that Whitmer also gets 21% of the vote from leaning Republican voters, while Dixon has only 2.4% of the vote from leaning Democrat voters.

Current Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (left) and Michigan GOP governor candidate Tudor Dixon (right).

Current Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (left) and Michigan GOP governor candidate Tudor Dixon (right).
(Erin Kirkland / Bloomberg, Nic Antaya / Bloomberg via Getty Images)

On these issues, 40% of would-be voters said inflation and cost of living were their main concerns as they prepare to move to the ballot box. Another 31.4% of voters said abortion and women’s rights were their biggest motivators. The majority of women (45.9%) said abortion was the most important issue in this election, while many men (38.5%) said inflation pushed them into the polls.

This state-of-the-art study was conducted by the Glengariff Group, Inc. and polled 600 likely Michigan voters over the live operator’s phone on October 26-28. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

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Democratic governor Gretchen Whitmer (left) and Republican governor candidate Tudor Dixon are seen in a debate with the Governor of Michigan on Thursday, October 13, 2022, at WOOD-TV in Grand Rapids, Michigan.

Democratic governor Gretchen Whitmer (left) and Republican governor candidate Tudor Dixon are seen in a debate with the Governor of Michigan on Thursday, October 13, 2022, at WOOD-TV in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
(Bryan Esler / Nexstar Media Group / WOOD-TV via AP)

Abortion was a controversial issue for Whitmer and Dixon during the last governorate debate last Tuesday, when each candidate tried to portray their opponent as an extremist.

“You can’t trust anything he says when it comes to reproductive rights,” Whitmer said of Dixon.

The Republican candidate, mother of four, responded by accusing the governor of being outside the political mainstream when it comes to abortion.

“The governor was just dishonest,” Dixon said. “In the past, she voted against the ban on abortion in partial childbirth.”

Democrats across the country have tied to the issue of abortion, believing that the unpopularity of the US Supreme Court’s landmark decision overturning Roe against Wade in June will save them from expected losses in a mid-term election as the democratic president occupies the White House.

In Michigan, a proposal to amend the state constitution was added to the vote to establish a new individual’s right to reproductive freedom, including the right to abortion. Polls have found that most Michigan voters support a measure called Proposition 3, which Democrats hope will increase Whitmer turnout.

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Former President Obama responds to being interrupted by a man at Saturday's rally in Michigan.

Former President Obama responds to being interrupted by a man at Saturday’s rally in Michigan.
(Video from the pool)

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Former President Obama campaigned for Whitmer in Detroit over the weekend as part of a nationwide tour gathering Democrats in key battlefield states. At Saturday’s rally, Obama said Republicans were “obsessed” with “having rights” rather than with issues important to voters.

“I can tell you are obsessed with Gretchen Whitmer,” Obama said. “It focuses on the basics: good work, lower costs, better schools and fixing goddamn roads.”

Haris Alic of Fox News contributed to this report.

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